Guillaume Marois 副教授
Guillaume Marois是亚洲人口研究中心人力资本和发展研究组的特聘副教授，在加入中心之前，他在国际应用系统分析研究所从事了多年研究工作，并开发出了一个微观模拟模型，该模型可以从多个维度预测欧洲国家的人口，包括教育、劳动参与率、 就业、语言、出生地和健康状况等。他于2014年在加拿大国家科学研究所完成了人口学博士学位，并在蒙特利尔大学获得了人口学硕士学位。 2014-2016年在蒙特利尔大学城市化研究所从事博士后研究。他的主要研究兴趣包括人口预测、微观模拟、人力资本、劳动力参与、移民和内部流动。
✉marois@iiasa.ac.at ▶查看简历
教育背景
2015 – 2016 Post-doctorate, University of Montreal, School of Planning and Landscape Architecture
2010 – 2014 Ph.D. Demography, National Institute of Scientific Research
2006 – 2009 M.Sc. Demography, University of Montreal
2003 – 2006 B.Sc. Demography-Geography, University of Montreal
工作经历
2019 – Now. Distinguished professor, Asian Demographic Research Institute, Shanghai University (China)
2016 – Now. Research Scholar, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Vienna)
2022 – 2023. Visiting professor, College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University (Thailand) (3 months)
2014 – 2015. Research Officer, University of Montreal, School of Planning and Landscape Architecture
2015. Research Officer, National Institute of Scientific Research (Montreal, Canada)
2008 – 2012. Research Officer, Quebec Statistical Institute (Montreal, Canada)
学术发表（部分）
Marois, Guillaume, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Jakob Zellmann, and Claudia Reiter (2024). "A dataset of human capital-weighted population estimates for 185 countries from 1970 to 2100", Nature – Scientific Data, 11(612). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03466-y
Gietel-Basten, Stuart, Guillaume Marois, Fatemeh Torabi, and Kambiz Kabiri (2024). “Reframing policy responses to population aging in Iran”, Genus, 80(8). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-023-00210-z
Wu, Jiawei and Guillaume Marois (2024). “Education Policies and Intergenerational Educational Mobility in China: New Evidence for the 1986–95 Birth Cohort?”, Population Research and Policy Review, 43(3). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-024-09887-2
Liu, Shuomei and Guillaume Marois (2024). “The effect of motherhood on the labour force participation of married women in China”, Asian Population Studies, 29(1), 104-120. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441730.2023.2193518
Marois, Guillaume, Michaela Potančoková, and Miguel Leonardo-Gonzalez (2023). "Demographic and labor force impacts of future immigration flows into Europe: does an immigrant’s region of origin matter?", Nature - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-02482-4
Dimitrova, Asya, Guillaume Marois, Gregor Kiesewetter, Peter Rafaj, Shonali Pachauri, Samir KC, Sergio Olmos, Davide Rasella, and Cathryn Tonne (2022). “Projecting the impact of air pollution on child stunting in India – synergies and trade-offs between climate change mitigation, ambient air quality control, and clean cooking access”, Environmental Research Letters, 17(10). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e89
Marois, Guillaume, Ekaterina Zhelenkova, and Balhasan Ali (2022). “Labour Force Projections in India Until 2060 and Implications for the Demographic Dividend”, Social Indicators Research, 164, 477-497. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-022-02968-9
Dimitrova, Asya, Guillaume Marois, Gregor Kiesewetter, Samir KC, Peter Rafaj, and Cathryn Tonne (2021). “Health impacts of fine particles under climate change mitigation, air quality control, and demographic change in India”, Environmental Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe5d5
Goujon, Anne, Guillaume Marois, and Patrick Sabourin (2021). “Deriving Niger’s Demographic and Education Future to 2062 with Stakeholders: Which Results?”, Population Research and Policy Review. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-020-09582-y
Marois Guillaume and Samir KC (2021). Microsimulation Population Projections with SAS. A Reference Guide, SpringerBriefs in Population Studies, Springer, 110 p. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-79111-7
Marois, Guillaume and Arda Akta (2021). “Projecting health-ageing trajectories in Europe using a dynamic microsimulation model”, Nature - Scientific Reports, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81092-z
Marois, Guillaume, Raya Muttarak, and Sergei Scherbov (2020). “Assessing the potential impact of COVID-19 on life expectancy”, PLoS One, 15(9). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0238678
Marois, Guillaume, Alain Bélanger, and Wolfgang Lutz (2020). “Population aging, migration, and productivity in Europe”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(14) 7690-7695.https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1918988117
Tellier, Luc-Normand and Guillaume Marois (2020). “The “Invasion Peril” in Light of the Topodynamic Theory, and Some Recent Statistics”, In Kourtit, K. et al. (eds.)The Economic Geography of Cross-Border Migration, Springer Nature Switzerland, pp. 15-32.https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48291-6_2
Marois, Guillaume and Michaela Potancokova (2020). Scenarios of labour force participation and employment integration of immigrants in the EU: demographic perspective, Publications Office of the European Union, Ispra, JRC118865, 30 p.http://dx.doi.org/10.2760/021884
Potančoková, Michaela, Guillaume Marois (2020). “Projecting the future births in the EU28 with fertility differentials reflecting women's educational and migrant characteristics”,Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, 18, 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1553/populationyearbook2020.res02
Marois, Guillaume, Patrick Sabourin, and Alain Bélanger (2020). “Implementing dynamics of immigration integration in labour force participation projection in EU28”, Population Research and Policy Review, 39(2), 339–363. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-019-09537-y
Marois, Guillaume, Patrick Sabourin, and Alain Bélanger (2019). "Forecasting Human Capital of EU Member Countries Accounting for Sociocultural Determinants”, Journal of Demographic Economics, 85(3), 231-269. https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2019.4